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Our new Deepseek-based AI states “Chiefs vs Eagles? … How Predictable”
Super Bowl predictions from our brand-new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting
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No one can forecast the future but at Lightning arrester Labs we are training AI to offer it its best shot. With approximately date news and a little however lively 14 Billion criterion model, our AI is boldly predicting the unforeseeable. Join us as we try to address humankind’s hardest concerns.
Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, just as two years ago, we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the statistics are well studied, there remain lots of pressing questions that are less easy to select. Our business, Lightning arrester Labs, has been mining concerns from locations like polymarket.com and training a big language design to be better at anticipating the future (and have actually seen some appealing enhancements - term paper inbound). Today we turned its cold, calculating eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can offer us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion criterion model which is in fact on the smaller side. (Some estimates recommend ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION specifications and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We utilized 8.) Additionally, its knowledge cutoff is from many months ago so we have actually constructed an “agentic pipeline” to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each concern we offer the news and watch as the AI reasons its way through unidentified territory to make its finest prediction possible.
And Now … The Important Questions
We posed the following questions to our AI and evaluated its response. While we have seen forecast enhancements from our training, utilize these price quotes for prop wagering at your own danger.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% possibility
Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis’ relationship is rock solid, however a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta factor in if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposal …
First, I’ll look at the bottom lines from the articles. Travis has remained in a relationship with Taylor considering that 2023. He’s a big football star, and she’s been helpful of his career, attending his video games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even invited her family and friends to the Super Bowl, showing her commitment.
Some fans are thrilled, while others, specifically Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically provided comments Travis made about Donald Trump attending the Super Bowl. That has actually triggered some Swifties to question how appropriate Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship personal and not resolving the speculation straight.
I think the crucial points are the speculation and his incredibly elusive answers. While he’s plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is an essential occasion, the odds and his actions recommend it’s more of a possibility rather than a certainty. I ’d estimate a low probability, possibly around 5%, thinking about all elements.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 “tush-pushes” throughout the super bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% possibility
No Jason Kelce hasn’t stopped the Eagles from utilizing their signature “tush-push” move, now its simply a various front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a “tush-push” is? Does an AI even know what a “tush” is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen’s comparable efforts? Looks like our AI believes they’ll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again during this game.
Alright, I’m trying to find out the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 “tush-pushes” during the Super Bowl. First, I need to comprehend just what a “tush-push” is. From the articles, it seems like it’s a strategy where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, utilizes his legs and lower body strength to push off protectors. It’s compared to pressing a heavy box, so it’s a physical maneuver that requires strength and technique.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the “tush-push.” It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having done a 600-pound squat, to perform the move. The post points out that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this method, which is quite high. … I also need to consider the defensive strategies of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs understand the Eagles’ “tush-push” method, they might change their defense accordingly, which could either increase or decrease the number of times the Eagles use it.
Considering that more than 5 looks like a substantial number but possible provided their self-confidence, I would estimate a probability around 60-70% opportunity. This accounts for their preparation, confidence in the technique, and the possibility that they’ll utilize it numerous times, specifically if it works early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump during the halftime show efficiency?
AI Final Prediction: 65% chance
While our AI might not resemble us when it pertains to awareness, a soul, or any physical manifestation, it certainly has viewpoints on Kendrick Lamar. It was pretty uncertain, waffling back and forth, annunciogratis.net but in the end it believes Kendrick isn’t going to pull back from a fight.
From the short articles, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He’s done this in his songs, like “The Heart Part 4,” and even made a statement during a previous halftime show when Trump was present in 2018. That seems substantial due to the fact that it reveals he’s done it previously, so possibly he’ll do it again. But wait, looking at more current posts, it discusses that Lamar is moving away from political statements and focusing more on personal expression. That could imply he’s less most likely to address Trump this time.
However, he’s likewise associated with a fight with Drake, which might offer him reasons to make some public statements, even if they’re not political. Another point is the legal problems surrounding his track “Not Like Us.” There’s a disparagement match from Drake, so possibly he bewares about including any controversial tunes in the efficiency. But since he won the Grammys for that track, he might still want to perform it, even if it’s uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a high-profile occasion, Lamar might feel forced to make a declaration. However, the NFL tends to avoid political statements during the halftime show, so there’s a threat that such material may be restricted or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making vibrant proceed big phases. He’s the first solo rap act to heading the halftime program, which might give him more innovative freedom. Plus, his previous habits suggests he’s not shy about revealing his opinions, even in public efficiencies.
But I also keep in mind reading that Lamar revealed tiredness about slamming Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That might suggest he’s less inspired to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he’s focusing on his feud with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past habits, present shifts in focus, legal concerns, and the event’s context-the probability appears to be moderately high, possibly around 65%.
Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the very bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% chance
Lets be truthful, Andy Reid enjoys cheeseburgers. And who doesn’t? Will the fact that our AI has never ever tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its prediction? Looks like theres rather of an opportunity that if the chiefs taste victory, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the short articles, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid consuming a cheeseburger during a Super Bowl celebration. Bradshaw later on said sorry for the joke, saying he didn’t mean to cause which he in fact discovered it amusing himself. Reid appeared to take it in stride, which might show he’s the type to laugh it off rather than getting upset.
Looking at the articles, it mentions that Andy Reid is a food lover and loves cheeseburgers. There’s a short article particularly about his love for food, which recommends that he’s an individual who takes pleasure in eating, particularly with his team. So, if there were plans to celebrate after the Super Bowl, it’s possible he would partake in a cheeseburger, particularly if the scenario is on screen for an event.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% opportunity
“Tails never fails?” You can’t trick the machines !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have actually been forecasting the coin toss and 53% are predicting heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 extremely bowls. Potentially profitable? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can’t be fooled and thinks anything can happen when that coin goes in the air.
Okay, so I’m trying to find out the probability that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I understand that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, but there’s some historical data that may affect this prediction.
First, I review the articles offered. They all point out the historic data of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has come up regularly than heads traditionally. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the result 30 times, which is about 52%, while heads has actually been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based simply on history, tails has a small edge, but it’s not a substantial distinction.
However, I keep in mind that the outcome of a coin toss is usually thought about random. The slight historic edge for tails could be due to opportunity. But when making forecasts, often individuals weigh historic data even if it’s not statistically significant. So, I ought to consider whether this historical predisposition needs to affect the likelihood.
After thinking about it, I decide that while the historical information shows a slight choice for tails, it’s not statistically significant sufficient to move the probability far from 0.5. So, I’ll choose 0.5 as the likelihood, acknowledging that the minor historic edge exists but does not bypass the fact that each toss is an independent 50/50 occasion.
Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% possibility
We get it, you believe the refs like Patrick Mahomes and are gon na help him win. If I wasn’t born and raised in Kansas City (I promise we didn’t inject pro-Kansas City training information) I would most likely think the very same. BUT, its authorities now since our AI says the possibilities are just 1% (hmmmm … 1% is still type of high when it pertains to fraud on a nationwide scale). Looks like the Chiefs will have to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I’m attempting to figure out the possibility that the referees will cheat to assist the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that’s a pretty serious allegation. Let me break this down. First, I’m seeing a lot of articles that speak about conspiracy theories suggesting referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some questionable calls in recent video games, particularly the AFC National championship. That does appear to stimulate some uncertainty. I can see why fans might get irritated when their team loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.
But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as “outrageous” and “outrageous.” They state there’s no proof of organized bias. That’s a strong declaration from the people in charge. If they’re denying it, it might mean there’s no real basis or they would have resolved it differently if there was some reality to it.
Looking at the short articles, numerous sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the authorities are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise mentioned that statistical analysis does not show any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said information reveals the Chiefs have actually been punished more because 2022. That’s fascinating since if they were getting unique treatment, you might anticipate less charges, right?
…
So, putting all of it together, the possibility that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably really low. Maybe not zero because you can’t rule out every possibility, however very not likely.
Summary
There you have it everybody, is it even worth viewing the game still? I guess I’ll need to wait and see how the video game ends up before we unleash this upon the stock exchange. Fingers crossed for a good video game! And hi, if it ends up our AI was incorrect about everything, a minimum of it can gain from this.
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